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David Hines [userpic]

THE WIRE prediction (spoilers through S5 E3)

January 23rd, 2008 (03:17 pm)
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I have a strong suspicion about how McNulty's efforts to get the brass's attention will play out.

City Hall, trying in vain to shore up the failing schools, is throwing money at them. This requires cutting police funds deeply, and results in the disruption of a major investigation, a case involving more than twenty homicides. The case made national news -- but that was a year ago, so nobody gives a crap. So McNulty decides to invent a serial killer using unsolved deaths of homeless people. That's sexy, right? It'll get the brass's attention, right?

Well, no. Because McNulty forgets: they're homeless. They don't have an active constituency, either. He's thinking that more bodies will help, even enlisting Lester for the plan: "We have to kill again." Except I don't think that's going to work, either. More homeless are just more homeless. Hell, the show's already seen a family homicide this season; a little kid saw the whole thing. And Griggs is the only detective working that case. If that didn't jar the brass out of complacency, dead homeless sure won't. They need something else, something that's already been mentioned in the earlier allusion to Aruba. They need a missing white chick.

And I think the show has one. When Michael and Dukie took Michael's brother to Six Flags, they met up with two girls and spent the afternoon flirting; the girls were intrigued to find out that Michael and Dukie lived by themselves. I get the impression the boys got numbers at the end of it. The kicker: one of the girls was white.

To me, that's laying pipe. My bet is that McNulty's efforts will go precisely nowhere. But those girls will be back, and they'll visit Michael and Dukie... and when they're in the hood, something bad is going to go down. And the white girl will wind up dead.

And that's what will get the city off its ass.

David Simon mentioned in an interview that they belatedly realized they could have gotten another season out of the Hispanic community in Baltimore, but nobody on the show knew Spanish and he himself didn't know the Hispanic community well enough. I think that's kind of a cop-out (I really like the character of Cuddy, and his work in landscaping would have been a great in for the immigrant angle), but hey, I think Simon's earned a freebie. It could have given them another way to play this angle, though: Jack Dunphy, an LA police officer who has written pseudonymously for a variety of publications including THE LA TIMES and NATIONAL REVIEW, has an interesting take on what the media reports in terms of homicides. He notes that rich white victims get massive ink, but adds another factor he's noticing lately: interracial strife. Black crooks shoot black crooks? Nobody cares. Black crooks shoot at black crooks, accidentally injure or kill a black kid or old person? Couple inches on page B-4. Black crooks shoot at *Hispanic* crooks, or vice versa? News coverage wall-to-wall. I could see THE WIRE doing something with that.


Posted by: trinfaneb (trinfaneb)
Posted at: January 24th, 2008 02:17 am (UTC)

Wow, I think that is a very good prediction. I was kind of wondering why they spent so much time on the Six Flags scene. I think Michael getting in trouble with Marlo may be another result from that scene. I predict by the end of the season Michael will be dead and/or out of Marlo's organization.

I thought the best scene in this week's episode was when Lester started agreeing with McNulty about making up a serial killer. On one level you think Lester would have better sense than to get involved in something that is likely to end his career, but then you have to remember that Lester has a history of making balls-to-the-wall choices in order to try and catch the bad guys.

Like you, I am wondering how McNulty and Lester will "kill again." Maybe they will ride around in high crime areas on their off time until they are lucky enough to be the first responder to a murder and can plant or re-arrange some evidence. And Lester is correct in that they need some sick ritual for the killer and a catchy name. It will be interesting to see how they attempt to do that.

I would love to see another season about Hispanics in Baltimore, but I think the show is ending at the right time because HBO seems to be losing patience and I imagine Simon and Ed Burns are getting tired and need to re-charge their batteries by doing something different.

That's an interesting article. Seems to have alot of truth in it. My personal take is that the media has sensationalized murder to such a high extent in the last couple of decades that ordinary crimes just don't make the cut anymore. We have gotten tired of seeing the same type of killings over and over again and it takes something a bit unusual to get us interested. Its not right, but that's the way it is.

Posted by: trinfaneb (trinfaneb)
Posted at: January 29th, 2008 02:26 am (UTC)

I was kinda right about how McNulty and Lester found their next "victim" but I didn't consider that they would involve a patrol officer. It does make things easier for them, though. I'm guessing McNulty used the false teeth to "bite" off the dead guy's privates. That would play very big in the media.

What happened to Prop Joe made me sad. The guy was a criminal, but he was clever and had style. I even felt a little bad for what happened to Burrell and Clay Davis.

It will be interesting to see how many characters are still alive or have their jobs when the season ends. If I was more patient and tech-savy I would make a Wire fan vid set to the piano exit from "Layla" and focus on dead bodies like Scorsese did in "Goodfellas."

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